Within Weather Records

Did the UFO vanish into cloud?

Low or broken cloud can make a steady light seem to blink out, vanish upward or pass behind an invisible barrier.

On this page

  • Cloud bases, oktas and what they reveal
  • Why broken layers create dramatic disappearances
  • How aviation ceiling records test the claim
Preview for Did the UFO vanish into cloud?

Introduction

A common feature in UFO reports is not the appearance of a mysterious light but its disappearance. Witnesses often describe a bright object that suddenly vanishes, seems to fly upward into nothing, or passes behind an invisible boundary in the sky. In many cases, low cloud and cloud ceilings provide a straightforward testable explanation. A steady light does not need to accelerate, switch off, or depart at extraordinary speed if a cloud layer simply blocks the line of sight.

Cloud vanish illustration 1 For investigators trying to distinguish unidentified reports from identifiable phenomena, cloud ceilings are particularly valuable because they leave records. Aviation weather observations, cloud-base measurements and sky-cover reports can often show whether a reported disappearance occurred at exactly the altitude where a cloud layer was present. In many cases, the question is not whether the light vanished, but whether it vanished into cloud.

Did the UFO vanish into cloud?

A cloud ceiling is the height of the lowest broken or overcast cloud layer above the ground. In aviation weather reporting, ceilings are derived from the lowest cloud layer reported as broken (BKN) or overcast (OVC), not from isolated cloud patches. This makes ceiling measurements a useful way to test reports of lights disappearing at a particular apparent height. [Federal Aviation Administration]faa.govFederal Aviation Administration Chapter 7Chapter 7. Safety of Flight- Ceiling is not specified; defined as the lowest broken or overcast layer, or the vertical visibility. - NWS… [National Weather Service]forecast.weather.govNational Weather Service NOAA's National Weather Serviceweather.govNOAA's National Weather Service - GlossaryCeiling: (Abbrev. CIG) - The height of the cloud base for the lowest broken or overc…

The key point is that a witness may see a light clearly below a cloud base and then lose it abruptly when it reaches the cloud layer. At night, the cloud itself may be nearly invisible. The observer therefore experiences the event as a sudden disappearance rather than an obscuration.

This effect is especially common with:

  • Helicopters operating beneath broken cloud.
  • Bright planets glimpsed through cloud gaps.
  • Satellites passing into cloud cover. [tarmacview.com]tarmacview.comCloud Cover | Airport Lights InspectionCloud cover is measured visually by dividing the sky into eight parts (oktas), with each part repr…
  • Distant navigation lights over water.

The human eye often interprets a disappearing point of light as motion. When the light is lost against a dark cloud edge, witnesses may conclude that it accelerated upward or instantly departed, even though it simply entered an obscured region.

Cloud bases, oktas and what they reveal

Weather observers do not merely record whether the sky is cloudy. They measure how much of the sky is covered using a scale called oktas, which divides the sky into eighths. Aviation reports commonly classify cloud cover as scattered (3–4 oktas), broken (5–7 oktas), or overcast (8 oktas). Broken and overcast layers are particularly important because they define a ceiling. [Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences]eoas.ubc.caEarth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences UBC ATSC 113ATSC 113 - Cloud CoverageFor aviation, the altitude of cloud base for the lowest cloud with coverage ≥ 5 oktas (i.e. lowest broken or ove… [Skybrary]skybrary.aeroSkybraryMeteorological Aerodrome Report (METAR)Cloud amount is reported as FEW = few (1-2 oktas), SCT = scattered (3-4 oktas), BKN = brok… [Met Office]weather.metoffice.gov.ukwe measure cloud1 okta represents a cloud amount of 1 eighth or less, but not zero; 7 oktas represents a cloud amount of 7 eighths or mor…

This distinction matters for UFO investigations.

A witness may report:

“The light climbed and disappeared.”

The weather record may show:

  • Broken cloud at 1,500 feet.
  • Overcast cloud at 2,000 feet.
  • Visibility otherwise good.

In that situation, the disappearance occurred in an environment where a hidden cloud barrier already existed.

The cloud base itself may not be visible at night. A witness looking toward a dark section of sky can easily miss the boundary between clear air and low stratus or stratocumulus cloud. Yet a bright light entering that layer may disappear almost instantly.

Because cloud amount is measured systematically in METAR aviation observations, investigators can compare reported disappearance heights with actual cloud layers rather than relying on subjective descriptions such as “partly cloudy” or “mostly clear.” [Met Office]weather.metoffice.gov.ukwe measure cloud1 okta represents a cloud amount of 1 eighth or less, but not zero; 7 oktas represents a cloud amount of 7 eighths or mor… [Drone Pilot Ground School]dronepilotgroundschool.comreading aviation routine weather metar reportbroken, 2,500 ft. overcast; 07/05 means the temperature is 7°C and the dew point is 5°C; A2992 means the…Read more…

Why broken layers create dramatic disappearances

Broken cloud is often more deceptive than overcast cloud. [skybrary.aero]skybrary.aeroSkybraryMeteorological Aerodrome Report (METAR)Cloud amount is reported as FEW = few (1-2 oktas), SCT = scattered (3-4 oktas), BKN = brok…

With an overcast layer, observers can usually see a continuous cloud deck. When a light enters it, the explanation is obvious. Broken cloud behaves differently. Large gaps allow lights to appear and disappear repeatedly.

A bright aircraft may:

Cloud vanish illustration 2

  1. Emerge through a gap.
  2. Remain visible for several seconds.
  3. Vanish behind cloud.
  4. Reappear through another opening.
  5. Disappear again.

To an observer unaware of the cloud structure, this can resemble intelligent manoeuvring or intermittent illumination.

The effect becomes stronger at night because observers often see the light but not the cloud producing the obstruction. The result can be reports of lights that “blinked out”, “jumped between positions”, or “faded into another dimension”. In reality, the cloud layer is acting like a moving screen.

Aviation weather guidance defines broken cloud as roughly five-eighths to seven-eighths sky coverage. That means substantial gaps remain even though a ceiling exists. Those gaps are exactly what create the illusion of objects repeatedly appearing and disappearing. [Met Office]weather.metoffice.gov.ukwe measure cloud1 okta represents a cloud amount of 1 eighth or less, but not zero; 7 oktas represents a cloud amount of 7 eighths or mor… [Boldmethod]boldmethod.comBoldmethodHow Cloud Ceilings Are ReportedIf the sky is covered between 5/8 and 7/8 with clouds, it's reported as broken…. And if it's… [Skybrary]skybrary.aeroSkybraryMeteorological Aerodrome Report (METAR)Cloud amount is reported as FEW = few (1-2 oktas), SCT = scattered (3-4 oktas), BKN = brok…

How aviation ceiling records test the claim

One of the most useful aspects of cloud-ceiling explanations is that they can be checked after the fact.

Most airports issue METAR reports at regular intervals. These observations record:

  • Cloud layers. [* Cloud-base heights.]forecast.weather.govNational Weather Service NOAA's National Weather Serviceweather.govNOAA's National Weather Service - GlossaryCeiling: (Abbrev. CIG) - The height of the cloud base for the lowest broken or overc… [* Visibility.]faa.govFederal Aviation Administration Chapter 7Chapter 7. Safety of Flight- Ceiling is not specified; defined as the lowest broken or overcast layer, or the vertical visibility. - NWS…
  • Weather conditions.
  • Vertical visibility when cloud completely obscures the sky. [Met Office]weather.metoffice.gov.ukwe measure cloud1 okta represents a cloud amount of 1 eighth or less, but not zero; 7 oktas represents a cloud amount of 7 eighths or mor… [2moratech.com]moratech.comSky Condition Observing and Reporting StandardsThe height of the bases of each reported layer of clouds and/or obscurations; or the verti…

An investigator can compare a UFO report with the nearest weather observation.

For example:

Witness statementWeather record to checkLight vanished at low altitudeLowest ceiling heightLight disappeared repeatedlyBroken-cloud layersObject vanished overheadOvercast layer above observerObject faded into a bright hazeVertical visibility or obscured sky reports

If the disappearance point matches a recorded cloud base, the weather explanation gains considerable strength. If no cloud layers existed anywhere near the reported altitude or direction, investigators may need to examine other possibilities.

This approach is more reliable than relying on memory because cloud ceilings are measured operationally for aviation safety rather than collected for UFO studies. Their value lies in being independent records.

When cloud ceilings are most likely to mislead observers

Several conditions make cloud-related disappearances particularly convincing.

Low ceilings after sunset

Low stratus layers can become nearly invisible after dark. Aircraft lights remain bright, but the cloud deck fades into the background. The observer sees the disappearance but not the cause. [World Meteorological Organization]WikipediaWorld Meteorological OrganizationThe World Meteorological Organization (WMO) is a specialized agency of the United Nations responsible…

Thin or uneven cloud layers

A cloud layer does not need to be thick. Even a relatively thin section can reduce the contrast of a distant light enough to make it vanish from view.

Viewing near the horizon

The longer atmospheric path near the horizon means lights are already dimmed by distance and haze. Entering cloud at that point can cause an apparently instantaneous disappearance.

Cloud vanish illustration 3

Patchy stratocumulus

Low stratocumulus often forms extensive fields with irregular gaps. These conditions are especially effective at creating intermittent visibility and repeated “reappearances.” [International Cloud Atlas]cloudatlas.wmo.intInternational Cloud AtlasCloud identification guideCloud identification guide; Nimbostratus. Ns. Dark rain cloud or bright snow cloud. U…

A practical interpretation rule

When a UFO report centres on a light that suddenly vanished, one of the first questions should be whether a cloud ceiling existed along the viewing path.

A recorded ceiling does not automatically explain every case. Witnesses can misjudge direction, distance and timing, and some reports occur under genuinely clear skies. However, cloud ceilings provide one of the few objective tests available. If a light disappears precisely where a broken or overcast layer was present, the event no longer requires an extraordinary explanation.

For this reason, intermittent disappearance is among the most weather-sensitive features in UFO reporting. A low cloud layer can create the impression of a light passing behind an invisible wall in the sky, when the wall was there all along and simply could not be seen.

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Endnotes

  1. Source: forecast.weather.gov
    Title: National Weather Service NOAA’s National Weather Service
    Link: https://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=ceiling
    Source snippet

    weather.govNOAA's National Weather Service - GlossaryCeiling: (Abbrev. CIG) - The height of the cloud base for the lowest broken or overc...

  2. Source: skybrary.aero
    Link: https://skybrary.aero/articles/meteorological-aerodrome-report-metar
    Source snippet

    SkybraryMeteorological Aerodrome Report (METAR)Cloud amount is reported as FEW = few (1-2 oktas), SCT = scattered (3-4 oktas), BKN = brok...

  3. Source: moratech.com
    Link: https://www.moratech.com/aviation/metar-class/metar-pg10-sky.html
    Source snippet

    Sky Condition Observing and Reporting StandardsThe height of the bases of each reported layer of clouds and/or obscurations; or the verti...

  4. Source: boldmethod.com
    Link: https://www.boldmethod.com/learn-to-fly/weather/cloud-ceilings-celestial-dome/
    Source snippet

    BoldmethodHow Cloud Ceilings Are ReportedIf the sky is covered between 5/8 and 7/8 with clouds, it's reported as broken.... And if it's...

  5. Source: weather.gov
    Link: https://www.weather.gov/media/directives/010_pdfs_archived/pd01008013b.pdf
    Source snippet

    Broken cloud layer (5 to 7 oktas cloud amount). Clouds may be... Visibility 1 1/2 SM and light freezing rain, broken CB clouds (ceiling)...

  6. Source: faa.gov
    Title: Federal Aviation Administration Chapter 7
    Link: https://www.faa.gov/air_traffic/publications/atpubs/aim_html/chap7_section_1.html
    Source snippet

    Chapter 7. Safety of Flight- Ceiling is not specified; defined as the lowest broken or overcast layer, or the vertical visibility. - NWS...

  7. Source: weather.metoffice.gov.uk
    Link: https://weather.metoffice.gov.uk/guides/observations/how-we-measure-cloud
    Source snippet

    we measure cloud1 okta represents a cloud amount of 1 eighth or less, but not zero; 7 oktas represents a cloud amount of 7 eighths or mor...

  8. Source: eoas.ubc.ca
    Title: Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences UBC ATSC 113
    Link: https://www.eoas.ubc.ca/courses/atsc113/flying/met_concepts/01-met_concepts/01c-cloud_coverage/index.html
    Source snippet

    ATSC 113 - Cloud CoverageFor aviation, the altitude of cloud base for the lowest cloud with coverage ≥ 5 oktas (i.e. lowest broken or ove...

  9. Source: metoffice.gov.uk
    Link: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/services/transport/aviation/regulated/training-resources-for-aviation/metars-and-tafs
    Source snippet

    Met OfficeMETARs & TAFsMETARs are coded weather reports summarising current conditions at aerodromes, including wind, visibility, weather...

  10. Source: dronepilotgroundschool.com
    Title: reading aviation routine weather metar report
    Link: https://www.dronepilotgroundschool.com/reading-aviation-routine-weather-metar-report/
    Source snippet

    broken, 2,500 ft. overcast; 07/05 means the temperature is 7°C and the dew point is 5°C; A2992 means the...Read more...

  11. Source: wmo.int
    Link: https://wmo.int/world-meteorological-day-2017/classifying-clouds
    Source snippet

    World Meteorological OrganizationClassifying cloudsHigh-level clouds typically have a base above about 5 000 metres (16 500 feet); middle...

  12. Source: cloudatlas.wmo.int
    Link: https://cloudatlas.wmo.int/cloud-identification-guide.html
    Source snippet

    International Cloud AtlasCloud identification guideCloud identification guide; Nimbostratus. Ns. Dark rain cloud or bright snow cloud. U...

  13. Source: cloudatlas.wmo.int
    Link: https://cloudatlas.wmo.int/some-useful-concepts-levels.html
    Source snippet

    | International Cloud AtlasThe troposphere can be vertically divided into three levels, formerly known as “étages”: high, middle and low...

  14. Source: wmo.int
    Link: https://wmo.int/
    Source snippet

    World Meteorological Organization WMO: HomepageWMO divides the world into six regions for the purpose of coordinating meteorological acti...

  15. Source: faa.gov
    Link: https://www.faa.gov/

  16. Source: tarmacview.com
    Title: cloud base
    Link: https://www.tarmacview.com/glossary/cloud-base/
    Source snippet

    Airport Lights InspectionNov 18, 2025 — Cloud ceiling is the lowest altitude above ground level of a broken or overcast cloud layer, a ke...

  17. Source: tarmacview.com
    Link: https://www.tarmacview.com/glossary/cloud-ceiling/
    Source snippet

    Cloud Ceiling | Airport Lights InspectionThe cloud ceiling is the height above ground level (AGL) of the lowest cloud layer that covers m...

  18. Source: tarmacview.com
    Link: https://www.tarmacview.com/glossary/cloud-cover/
    Source snippet

    Cloud Cover | Airport Lights InspectionCloud cover is measured visually by dividing the sky into eight parts (oktas), with each part repr...

  19. Source: Wikipedia
    Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Okta
    Source snippet

    OktaIn meteorology, an okta is a scale of measurement used to describe the amount of cloud cover at any given location such as a weath...

  20. Source: Wikipedia
    Title: World Meteorological Organization
    Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Meteorological_Organization
    Source snippet

    World Meteorological OrganizationThe World Meteorological Organization (WMO) is a specialized agency of the United Nations responsible...

  21. Source: Wikipedia
    Title: Cloud cover
    Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloud_cover
    Source snippet

    Cloud coverCloud cover refers to the fraction of the sky obscured by clouds on average when observed from a particular location. Okta...

  22. Source: Wikipedia
    Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/METAR
    Source snippet

    METARCAVOK is an abbreviation for Ceiling And Visibility OK, indicating no cloud below 5,000 ft (1,500 m) or the highest minimum secto...

  23. Source: eoas.ubc.ca
    Title: ca UB C ATSC 113
    Link: https://www.eoas.ubc.ca/courses/atsc113/flying/met_concepts/01-met_concepts/01d-ceilings/index.html
    Source snippet

    ATSC 113 - CeilingAccording to the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), ceiling is the height above ground level (AGL) of th...

  24. Source: rmets.org
    Title: international cloud atlas and new cloud classifications
    Link: https://www.rmets.org/metmatters/international-cloud-atlas-and-new-cloud-classifications
    Source snippet

    1 Apr 2017 — International Cloud Atlas and new cloud classifications · Alto: mid-level · Cirrus/cirro: feathers, wispy · Cumulus/cumulo...

  25. Source: wiki.ivao.aero
    Link: https://wiki.ivao.aero/en/home/training/documentation/metar_explanation
    Source snippet

    explanation | IVAO Documentation LibraryThe ceiling (coverage > 50% or 4/8th) is the height above the earth's surface of the lowest layer...

Additional References

  1. Source: aviationweather.gov
    Link: https://aviationweather.gov/help/data/
    Source snippet

    AWC Product InfoMETAR contains a report of wind, visibility, runway visual [range]({{ 'range/' | relative_url }}), present weather, sky condition, temperature, dew point...

  2. Source: weatherbriefing.com
    Link: https://www.weatherbriefing.com/cloud-catalog
    Source snippet

    Cloud AtlasLow clouds are based below 6,500 feet (2,000 meters), middle clouds are between 6,500 and 20,000 feet, and high clouds are abo...

  3. Source: pilotworkshop.com
    Link: https://pilotworkshop.com/tips/vv_in_a_metar/
    Source snippet

    VV in a METAR“That VV in the METAR is 'vertical visibility,' but you've probably also heard it on the ATIS or AWOS as 'indefinite ceiling...

  4. Source: reddit.com
    Link: https://www.reddit.com/r/flying/comments/12or8o3/vfr_metar_ceilings/
    Source snippet

    VFR METAR Ceilings: r/flyingUnderstanding VFR METAR ceilings in aviation. Is scattered a ceiling in aviation? Is broken clouds a ceiling...

  5. Source: space.oscar.wmo.int
    Link: https://space.oscar.wmo.int/variables/view/cloud_cover
    Source snippet

    for Variable: Cloud coverFull name, Cloud cover; Definition, 3D field of fraction of sky filled by clouds.; Measuring Units, %, Uncerta...

  6. Source: bom.gov.au
    Link: https://www.bom.gov.au/aviation/data/education/awp-metarspeci.pdf

  7. Source: weather.gov.dm
    Link: https://weather.gov.dm/resources/common-forecast-terms-and-weather-systems

  8. Source: facebook.com
    Link: https://www.facebook.com/Boldmethod/posts/the-faa-defines-a-ceiling-as-the-height-of-the-lowest-layer-of-clouds-above-the-/887355276752888/
    Source snippet

    "The height of the lowest layer of clouds above the surface...25 Jul 2024 — The FAA defines a ceiling as: "The height of the lowest laye...

  9. Source: youtube.com
    Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g5wBWOTrloA
    Source snippet

    How to Decode METARs and TAFsIn this video I go over examples of decoding aviation METARs and TAFs. Meteorological Aerodrome Reports (MET...

  10. Source: cloudatlas.wmo.int
    Link: https://cloudatlas.wmo.int/
    Source snippet

    Cloud Atlas: HomeThe WMO International Cloud Atlas is the reference for the classification of clouds and meteorological [meteors]({{ 'meteors/' | relative_url }}). It provi...

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